Best and Worst Stocks YTD

The winners for the first half of 2021 are predominantly in ‘secular trends’.

Kate Lin, CAIA 08 July, 2021 | 8:00
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Hot Balloon

 

In Morningstar’s coverage universe of 300 stocks in Asia, excluding India and Japan, three sectors fill almost half the slots in the top 25 stocks by performance from January to June. These three sectors are pharmaceuticals and biotechnology, utilities, and technology (hardware and equipment). Here’s a look at the chart:

Top Perf Sectors - 1H 2021

 

Biotech and Renewables

Genscript Biotech (01548) was the best year-to-date performer in Morningstar’s Greater China equity coverage, making a stellar return of 200%. The gene and cell therapy firm started 2021 with weak sentiment following an anti-smuggling probe by Chinese authorities on its management of human genetic sources such as organs, tissues and cells. The stock price recovered based on an investment by private equity fund Hillhouse Capital, which anchored much of investors’ confidence. The rest of the sector was buoyed by better visibility in outsourcing profitability, and an innovative drug pipeline. At the same time, the gains brought Genscript and Wuxi Biologics (02269) well above their respective fair value estimates by around 70%. However, these gains come with risks, as Morningstar analysts give the firms a Very High fair value uncertainty rating.

Top Pharma 1H 2021

 

Another sector that outperformed others was utilities. Some companies in the sector clocked gains of more than 30% in six months.

A combination of macroeconomic factors and market sentiment contributed to the performance of energy producers on the mainland. As the Chinese economy continues to recover, especially in the manufacturing space, a surge in electricity consumption favors providers. Also, the floatation of China Three Gorges Renewables Group in June also drew investors’ interest in other ‘green energy assets’, for example wind power producer China Longyuan Power Group (00916).

Top Utilities

 

On the other hand, some trends emerge in the worst performers as well. Here’s a look at the bottom of the pile:

Bottom 5

 

Morningstar senior equity analyst Jenny Tsai says the policy overhang explained much of the drawdown among the worst stock performances. In April, the Chinese government discussed a ban on excess fund raising, which put in a place a major impediment for the whole sector, which relies on capital raised via initial public offerings, or other channels. Mainland China education providers, listed either in Hong Kong or in the U.S., experienced a drop of at least 30%, with TAL Education hurting the most over a span of six periods.

The stocks’ fair value estimates remain the same as Tsai believes the market was overreacted over the talk. “We believe the China government will be implementing a set of policies to regulate the after-school tutoring industry to promote a healthier and transparent industry.”

 

Major Edu Drawdown

 

 

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About Author

Kate Lin, CAIA

Kate Lin, CAIA  is a Data Journalist for Morningstar Asia, and is based in Hong Kong

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